Munsingen vs Thun II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
13º
10º
32
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Munsingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BLA
3 - 1
MUN
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
FCC
3 - 1
MUN
61%
20%
20%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
MUT
4 - 3
MUN
69%
17%
15%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 1
RTK
37%
25%
38%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WOH
3 - 2
MUN
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
THU
3 - 3
MUT
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
RTK
2 - 0
THU
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
WOH
4 - 0
THU
39%
22%
39%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
THU
0 - 2
SCH
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 2
THU
23%
20%
57%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |