Municipal vs Guastatoya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ANT
1 - 1
MUN
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 2
MUN
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MUN
2 - 0
SLC
76%
16%
7%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
DSA
0 - 0
MUN
28%
29%
43%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MUN
3 - 1
SIQ
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Guastatoya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
CHI
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
SLC
1 - 0
GUA
23%
29%
48%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
DSA
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
SIQ
2 - 1
GUA
30%
29%
42%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
MIX
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |