Municipal vs Antigua GFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
11º
1º
30
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 21 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 20 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SLC
0 - 4
MUN
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
COB
0 - 2
MUN
42%
29%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
MUN
2 - 1
TOR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
XIN
1 - 2
MUN
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
MUN
1 - 0
GUA
56%
26%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 2
ANT
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 3
CHI
55%
24%
20%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
MIX
1 - 2
ANT
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ANT
5 - 2
IZT
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
ANT
1 - 1
COB
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |