Rwanda League Round 15

Mukura Victory vs Etincelles FC analysis

Mukura Victory Etincelles FC
42 ELO 38
-3.1% Tilt -24%
7885º General ELO ranking 7757º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
58.3%
Mukura Victory
23%
Draw
18.8%
Etincelles FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
Mukura Victory
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.8%
Win probability
Etincelles FC
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mukura Victory
-30%
-11%
Etincelles FC

ELO progression

Mukura Victory
Etincelles FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mukura Victory
Mukura Victory
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2022
MUK
Mukura Victory
3 - 2
Musanze FC
MUS
43%
26%
32%
41 42 1 0
20 Jan. 2022
GIC
Gicumbi
1 - 1
Mukura Victory
MUK
38%
29%
33%
41 38 3 0
17 Jan. 2022
MUK
Mukura Victory
0 - 1
Police FC
POL
46%
25%
29%
42 42 0 -1
30 Dec. 2021
ASK
AS Kigali
2 - 1
Mukura Victory
MUK
54%
25%
22%
42 42 0 0
22 Dec. 2021
GFC
Gorilla
0 - 1
Mukura Victory
MUK
53%
25%
23%
42 40 2 0

Matches

Etincelles FC
Etincelles FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2022
GFC
Gasogi United
0 - 2
Etincelles FC
ETI
60%
20%
20%
37 40 3 0
19 Jan. 2022
ETI
Etincelles FC
0 - 2
Rayon Sport
RAY
30%
27%
43%
38 42 4 -1
15 Jan. 2022
ETI
Etincelles FC
0 - 1
Marines FC
MAR
47%
25%
28%
39 39 0 -1
28 Dec. 2021
MUS
Musanze FC
1 - 1
Etincelles FC
ETI
54%
25%
21%
39 42 3 0
22 Dec. 2021
ETI
Etincelles FC
2 - 0
Gicumbi
GIC
39%
26%
35%
37 40 3 +2