Mukura Victory vs Bugesera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mukura Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
APR
1 - 0
MUK
57%
23%
21%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
MUK
1 - 0
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MUS
0 - 0
MUK
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MUK
0 - 3
EDE
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
POL
1 - 1
MUK
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BUG
2 - 2
GFC
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
APR
1 - 1
BUG
58%
22%
21%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BUG
3 - 0
GFC
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SUN
1 - 0
BUG
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BUG
4 - 0
KIY
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +3 |