MTV Ingolstadt vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTV Ingolstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
WAL
0 - 0
MTV
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
MTV
1 - 3
OFC
26%
23%
52%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
WAT
2 - 1
MTV
67%
17%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
BAY
5 - 1
MTV
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
MTV
2 - 1
ESV
60%
21%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
SGF
0 - 3
KSC
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
ULM
0 - 1
SGF
30%
30%
40%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
SGF
3 - 1
BSW
86%
10%
5%
|
75 | 10 | 65 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
SGF
1 - 1
WWO
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
HOM
1 - 1
SGF
52%
24%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |