MTK Budapest vs Diósgyőr VTK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
3º
10º
4º
0
7º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
1 | 56 |
1º
|
28.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 50 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
1 | 48 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
1 | 48 |
4º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 48 |
5º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 48 |
6º
|
6.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 47 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 46 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 45 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
1 | 45 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 36 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 26 |
12º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
12% | 6% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
20% | 16% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
MTK
1 - 1
FTC
48%
25%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
MTK
0 - 3
KOM
50%
22%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
MTK
1 - 0
SOR
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MTK
2 - 1
KTE
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
CSU
1 - 0
MTK
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Diósgyőr VTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2025 |
UJP
3 - 1
DIO
44%
25%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
DIO
1 - 1
FKK
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
LIS
2 - 0
DIO
23%
23%
54%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2025 |
RIE
1 - 1
DIO
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2025 |
SLP
2 - 0
DIO
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |