Mtibwa Sugar vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
47.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
RUV
1 - 1
MTI
40%
29%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
COA
0 - 1
MTI
47%
30%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2021 |
MTI
1 - 1
POL
26%
30%
44%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MTI
0 - 0
KMC
28%
31%
42%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
MTI
2 - 0
BUM
27%
30%
43%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2022 |
MBE
1 - 0
SIM
37%
28%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
SIM
0 - 0
MLA
91%
7%
2%
|
61 | 9 | 52 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
SIM
2 - 1
AZA
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2021 |
KMC
1 - 4
SIM
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SIM
0 - 0
YOU
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |