Mtibwa Sugar vs Coastal Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
28.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2022 |
KMC
3 - 2
MTI
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MTI
1 - 0
MBE
32%
31%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
BUM
1 - 1
MTI
42%
30%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
DJF
1 - 2
MTI
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MTI
1 - 1
KAG
31%
31%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Coastal Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2022 |
COA
1 - 0
BUM
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
COA
1 - 0
POL
31%
29%
41%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
MKF
2 - 0
COA
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
TAN
1 - 0
COA
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
COA
1 - 2
SIM
25%
29%
47%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |