Mtarfa vs Qrendi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
9º
18º
16º
14
12º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
MTA
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MTA
1 - 3
SLI
18%
25%
58%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VIT
3 - 0
MTA
34%
21%
44%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
MTA
0 - 4
SAI
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ATT
3 - 1
MTA
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Qrendi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2022 |
QRE
2 - 3
MAR
40%
23%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TAR
4 - 0
QRE
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
QRE
2 - 5
ZUR
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
GHA
5 - 0
QRE
32%
25%
44%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 1
QRE
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |