Third Division Malta Normal Season Round 14

Mtarfa vs Qormi FC analysis

Mtarfa Qormi FC
44 ELO 29
-2% Tilt -0.6%
5517º General ELO ranking 5661º
38º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
75.1%
Mtarfa
14.5%
Draw
10.4%
Qormi FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
Mtarfa
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.4%
Win probability
Qormi FC
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mtarfa
-6%
+73%
Qormi FC

ELO progression

Mtarfa
Qormi FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mtarfa
Mtarfa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Feb. 2022
ZUR
Zurrieq FC
7 - 0
Mtarfa
MTA
52%
24%
24%
45 48 3 0
06 Feb. 2022
MAR
Marsaskala
0 - 1
Mtarfa
MTA
57%
23%
21%
44 48 4 +1
22 Jan. 2022
MTA
Mtarfa
1 - 0
Mdina Knights
MDI
84%
11%
5%
44 25 19 0
18 Dec. 2021
KIR
Kirkop United
0 - 1
Mtarfa
MTA
33%
25%
43%
44 37 7 0
11 Dec. 2021
MTA
Mtarfa
2 - 2
St. Venera
VEN
83%
11%
6%
44 24 20 0

Matches

Qormi FC
Qormi FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Feb. 2022
QOR
Qormi FC
2 - 3
Marsaskala
MAR
20%
23%
57%
31 46 15 0
29 Jan. 2022
MDI
Mdina Knights
0 - 2
Qormi FC
QOR
30%
21%
49%
30 24 6 +1
22 Jan. 2022
QOR
Qormi FC
1 - 3
Kirkop United
KIR
43%
23%
34%
31 36 5 -1
19 Dec. 2021
VEN
St. Venera
2 - 0
Qormi FC
QOR
25%
22%
54%
33 25 8 -2
12 Dec. 2021
QOR
Qormi FC
0 - 3
Mellieha
MEL
41%
24%
35%
35 41 6 -2