MSV Duisburg vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1991 |
PRE
2 - 0
MSV
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1991 |
MSV
4 - 0
HOM
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1991 |
SVS
1 - 0
MSV
62%
21%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1991 |
KFC
1 - 4
MSV
59%
20%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1991 |
MSV
1 - 1
S04
43%
25%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1991 |
VFB
3 - 0
SCH
74%
17%
10%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
HAV
3 - 2
VFB
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
VFB
3 - 2
OSN
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1991 |
EBT
1 - 1
VFB
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
VFB
3 - 5
BWB
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |