MSV Duisburg vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
ELV
1 - 0
MSV
18%
26%
56%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
MSV
2 - 0
ROS
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 1
MSV
47%
26%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MSV
0 - 4
DAR
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
WEH
2 - 0
MSV
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
ROS
0 - 0
SAA
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SAA
0 - 1
DAR
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
SAA
2 - 1
PAD
23%
22%
56%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 1
SAA
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SAA
1 - 1
CHE
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |