MSV Duisburg vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
HSV
2 - 0
MSV
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
FCU
0 - 0
MSV
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2002 |
MSV
1 - 1
EBT
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2002 |
LUB
1 - 1
MSV
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
MSV
2 - 1
RWA
47%
24%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2002 |
M05
2 - 2
KSC
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
WAC
0 - 2
M05
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2002 |
M05
2 - 2
KOL
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
SGF
2 - 0
M05
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2002 |
M05
0 - 0
SCF
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |