MSV Duisburg vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
33.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FCN
3 - 1
MSV
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MSV
2 - 2
ARB
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 2
MSV
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
MSV
3 - 3
HEI
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
RTV
0 - 2
MSV
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
ING
0 - 1
STP
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ING
22%
29%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ING
3 - 0
SGF
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
SSV
3 - 2
ING
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
ING
0 - 0
SVS
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |