MSV Duisburg vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
MSV
0 - 1
EIN
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
BYM
0 - 0
MSV
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
MSV
1 - 0
FCN
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
LEV
4 - 1
MSV
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
MSV
0 - 2
RTV
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
BVB
2 - 1
BRE
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
WOL
4 - 0
BVB
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2007 |
BVB
6 - 1
ARB
54%
26%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
STU
1 - 2
BVB
50%
25%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
FCN
2 - 0
BVB
38%
26%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |