MSV Duisburg Sub 19 vs SC Paderborn Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
44.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
3º
12º
9º
44
1º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 19 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 3
DUI
28%
22%
51%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
DUI
4 - 3
FOR
30%
23%
47%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
DUI
0 - 3
HAN
27%
22%
51%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
KOL
2 - 1
DUI
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DUI
3 - 6
BOC
32%
25%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC Paderborn Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 2
SCP
38%
23%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SCP
5 - 0
SCV
75%
14%
10%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SCP
6 - 2
COT
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
UBE
2 - 2
SCP
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SCP
4 - 1
SCV
57%
20%
23%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |