MSV Duisburg Sub 19 vs Köln Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
55.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
3 - 0
DUI
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
DUI
1 - 2
ARM
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LEV
3 - 2
DUI
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
DUI
0 - 3
BOC
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MON
1 - 2
DUI
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Köln Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
BOR
1 - 4
KOL
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
KOL
5 - 1
BON
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
KOL
2 - 0
SES
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
KOL
18%
20%
62%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
KOL
4 - 4
ARM
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |