MSV Duisburg U19 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
64.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
3º
5º
5º
3
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 29 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
2º
|
8 | 24 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 17 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 17 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
5 | 12 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 8 |
6º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 8 |
7º
|
51% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2025 |
VIK
1 - 2
DUI
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
DUI
1 - 1
KOL
10%
16%
73%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
MAI
2 - 1
DUI
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
DUI
0 - 1
RWO
45%
23%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
PAU
2 - 4
DUI
72%
16%
11%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 2
VIK
64%
19%
17%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
KOL
2 - 0
FOR
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SCH
2 - 1
FOR
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
STU
3 - 2
FOR
80%
12%
8%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 3
MUN
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |