MSV Duisburg Sub 19 vs Arminia Bielefeld Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+155%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
DUI
1 - 0
ESS
46%
22%
33%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
BOR
6 - 0
DUI
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
DUI
4 - 1
MON
13%
18%
70%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
DUI
75%
16%
9%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
DUI
1 - 1
FOR
81%
12%
8%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 3
KOL
9%
17%
74%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
BOR
5 - 1
ARM
85%
10%
4%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 3
BOC
22%
23%
55%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
ARM
83%
12%
5%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 0
WUP
25%
24%
51%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |