MSV Duisburg II vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
MSV
3 - 0
BFR
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
MSV
1 - 0
RHE
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
MSV
1 - 1
GRA
61%
22%
18%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2000 |
WEG
2 - 1
MSV
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
STR
0 - 1
MSV
39%
25%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
DIE
2 - 0
WEG
44%
27%
29%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
DIE
0 - 1
VEL
45%
25%
31%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2000 |
BFR
2 - 0
DIE
49%
24%
26%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
DIE
5 - 0
STR
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
VIK
1 - 3
DIE
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |