MSV Duisburg II vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
MSV
1 - 1
DIE
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VER
1 - 1
MSV
66%
20%
15%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MSV
4 - 0
VEL
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
MSV
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MSV
0 - 3
SPO
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
VIK
17%
22%
62%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
WIE
2 - 2
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
S04
17%
21%
61%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
KRA
0 - 2
FOR
27%
23%
50%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
BAY
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |