MSV Duisburg II vs B. Leverkusen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
BOR
0 - 1
MSV
75%
16%
9%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
MSV
1 - 2
VEL
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
DUS
2 - 1
MSV
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MSV
0 - 2
YUK
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
SWE
3 - 1
MSV
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
BAY
0 - 1
FCB
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BFR
0 - 3
BAY
15%
19%
65%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
BAY
3 - 1
WUP
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
AAA
0 - 1
BAY
22%
21%
56%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
DUR
1 - 3
BAY
15%
19%
66%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |