Msida St Joseph vs Mtarfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
75.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-78%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Msida St Joseph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
RAB
1 - 1
MSI
90%
8%
3%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LUQ
2 - 2
MSI
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MSI
0 - 3
ZAB
13%
19%
68%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
SIG
1 - 0
MSI
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MSI
4 - 1
MDI
37%
21%
42%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MTA
1 - 1
LUQ
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ZAB
1 - 1
MTA
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
MTA
1 - 2
RAB
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MTA
2 - 1
SIG
64%
18%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
MDI
1 - 2
MTA
9%
15%
76%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |