MSC vs SC NEC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ACH
0 - 3
MSC
27%
23%
51%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MSC
1 - 0
QUI
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
MSC
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MSC
4 - 0
GER
74%
15%
10%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ARH
1 - 3
MSC
39%
24%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SCN
1 - 2
RKH
39%
22%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
JUL
2 - 1
SCN
61%
21%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ACH
4 - 2
SCN
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SCN
2 - 2
QUI
32%
23%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SWZ
2 - 0
SCN
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |