MSC vs SC NEC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 2
MSC
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
RIG
1 - 1
MSC
16%
20%
63%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MSC
1 - 1
QUI
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LON
2 - 5
MSC
44%
23%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MSC
0 - 2
ROH
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SCN
3 - 1
QUI
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ROH
5 - 0
SCN
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SCN
1 - 1
RKH
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
OJC
2 - 0
SCN
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SCN
1 - 1
JUL
42%
24%
35%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |