MSC vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
MSC
0 - 3
BEQ
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
MSC
7 - 1
RIG
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 3
MSC
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
MSC
3 - 2
LON
75%
15%
10%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
MSC
4 - 1
NIE
84%
11%
5%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 2
ALC
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 0
ROH
44%
25%
31%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
ALC
3 - 1
NIE
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RKH
5 - 3
ALC
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
SCN
3 - 1
ALC
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |