MSC vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HOO
4 - 0
MSC
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MSC
2 - 3
JUL
62%
19%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SWZ
1 - 1
MSC
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MSC
4 - 2
RIG
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MSC
1 - 1
BAB
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 2
RKH
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
UDI
0 - 1
ALC
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALC
4 - 0
ROH
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SCN
0 - 1
ALC
43%
25%
33%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 1
JUL
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |