MSC vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
HSC
4 - 1
MSC
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
MSC
3 - 3
HOO
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
BAB
2 - 5
MSC
49%
23%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MSC
3 - 1
RKH
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
BEQ
3 - 2
MSC
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ALC
3 - 1
RIG
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
WKE
3 - 1
ALC
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ALC
2 - 1
SWZ
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
RHE
1 - 2
ALC
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ALC
1 - 0
SCN
42%
26%
33%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |