MSC vs Achilles 1894 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SVB
0 - 2
MSC
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MSC
4 - 0
NIE
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CVV
5 - 1
MSC
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
HOO
2 - 1
MSC
40%
25%
36%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MSC
0 - 0
VAA
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Achilles 1894
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
NIE
3 - 1
ACH
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ACH
4 - 2
CVV
38%
24%
38%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
VAA
0 - 2
ACH
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ACH
0 - 1
FVC
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BER
1 - 5
ACH
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |