Pardes Hanna-Karkur vs Ahva Reineh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
15º
15º
9
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
88.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
66.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
11º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 32 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 32 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
|
16º
|
9 | 17 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pardes Hanna-Karkur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
HSG
2 - 1
MSP
60%
19%
21%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
MSP
0 - 1
HBA
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
HBS
2 - 0
MSP
73%
16%
11%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
MSP
0 - 0
IBB
36%
23%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
BHJ
3 - 0
MSP
59%
20%
22%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Ahva Reineh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
MTH
10 - 0
ARE
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARE
0 - 5
TUA
14%
18%
68%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
IBK
4 - 0
ARE
82%
12%
7%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
ARE
2 - 0
MSP
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
HBA
3 - 1
ARE
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |