MS ABDB vs Kasuka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
33.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MS ABDB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
IKL
0 - 4
MSA
36%
21%
43%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BKA
0 - 5
MSA
20%
19%
61%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
MSA
7 - 1
SPE
88%
8%
4%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
PMU
0 - 3
MSA
17%
18%
65%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
MSA
2 - 0
IKL
63%
18%
19%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Kasuka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
PMU
0 - 9
KAS
14%
15%
71%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
KAS
1 - 0
AKS
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 10
KAS
8%
12%
80%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
WIJ
1 - 8
KAS
42%
21%
38%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BAW
0 - 11
KAS
25%
19%
56%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |