First Division Ronda Descenso round 7

Mqabba FC vs Marsa FC analysis

Mqabba FC Marsa FC
37 ELO 47
1.8% Tilt 2.8%
17428º General ELO ranking 2850º
54º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
22.5%
Mqabba FC
22.4%
Draw
55.1%
Marsa FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
Mqabba FC
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
55.1%
Win probability
Marsa FC
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Mqabba FC
Their league position
Marsa FC
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
12º
12º
10
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Swieqi United
23
23
100%
Saint Andrews
17
18
100%
San Gwann
16
16
100%
Lija
16
16
16%
Attard
15
15
16%
Marsaskala
13
14
0%
Fgura United FC
13
14
40%
Qrendi
13
14
48%
Vittoriosa Stars
11
11
100%
Marsa FC
10º
10
10
10º
100%
Mtarfa
11º
7
7
11º
100%
Mqabba FC
12º
6
6
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mqabba FC
Marsa FC
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

Mqabba FC
Marsa FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mqabba FC
Mqabba FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2023
MAR
Marsaskala
5 - 0
Mqabba FC
MQA
56%
23%
22%
40 45 5 0
25 Feb. 2023
MQA
Mqabba FC
1 - 2
Fgura United FC
FUN
21%
23%
57%
41 51 10 -1
12 Feb. 2023
LIJ
Lija
3 - 2
Mqabba FC
MQA
63%
20%
17%
41 47 6 0
05 Feb. 2023
MQA
Mqabba FC
0 - 1
Saint Andrews
SAI
27%
24%
49%
42 49 7 -1
28 Jan. 2023
QRE
Qrendi
0 - 1
Mqabba FC
MQA
57%
21%
22%
41 42 1 +1

Matches

Marsa FC
Marsa FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2023
MAR
Marsa FC
0 - 0
Mtarfa
MTA
71%
17%
12%
47 37 10 0
25 Feb. 2023
SWI
Swieqi United
3 - 0
Marsa FC
MAR
54%
22%
24%
48 51 3 -1
11 Feb. 2023
MAR
Marsaskala
3 - 1
Marsa FC
MAR
24%
22%
54%
50 42 8 -2
05 Feb. 2023
MAR
Marsa FC
1 - 3
Fgura United FC
FUN
49%
23%
28%
51 50 1 -1
28 Jan. 2023
LIJ
Lija
0 - 1
Marsa FC
MAR
36%
23%
41%
50 47 3 +1