Cape Town City FC vs Richards Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
17.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
16º
16º
33
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
36% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
40% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
MIL
1 - 0
MPU
26%
28%
46%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
MPU
1 - 0
PIR
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MPU
1 - 0
CHI
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
MPU
0 - 1
AMA
52%
27%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
MPU
33%
29%
39%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Richards Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
MIL
0 - 0
RIB
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
RIB
0 - 2
SUN
23%
29%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
GOL
0 - 1
RIB
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
RIB
0 - 1
SSU
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
RIB
1 - 3
AMA
34%
30%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |