Cape Town City FC vs Kaizer Chiefs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
26.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
5º
16º
16º
32
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
36% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
40% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Town City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
MPU
0 - 1
AMA
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
MPU
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SUF
1 - 0
MPU
37%
29%
35%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GOL
3 - 2
MPU
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
MPU
1 - 0
POL
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
CHI
50%
26%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
TSG
1 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
POL
2 - 0
CHI
35%
29%
36%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 2
RKF
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 1
RIB
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |