Moutier vs Grünstern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.7%
4.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moutier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
LER
5 - 4
MOU
59%
20%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
MOU
2 - 1
MUT
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
BUM
2 - 3
MOU
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
MOU
1 - 0
BER
45%
23%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ALL
3 - 1
MOU
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Grünstern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2017 |
GRU
0 - 4
LAN
6%
12%
82%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
TIM
4 - 3
GRU
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
GRU
0 - 6
FCP
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GRU
1 - 1
LER
8%
13%
79%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
GRU
2 - 4
ALL
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |