Mourisquense vs Avanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
72.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mourisquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
RDA
0 - 1
MOU
87%
10%
4%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 1
BAI
36%
24%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
OVA
2 - 1
MOU
85%
11%
4%
|
9 | 52 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 0
CAL
35%
23%
42%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ESC
1 - 0
MOU
66%
19%
16%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Avanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 1
CAR
74%
16%
11%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BUS
3 - 0
AVA
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 1
UNI
23%
22%
55%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ESM
2 - 1
AVA
13%
19%
69%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | -3 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RDA
0 - 0
AVA
76%
16%
9%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |