Moura vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ORI
1 - 0
MOU
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MOU
2 - 2
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PIN
4 - 2
MOU
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MOU
1 - 2
PRA
9%
19%
72%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
REA
2 - 0
MOU
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 3
OLH
20%
23%
56%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
1DE
1 - 0
VAS
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 0
IDE
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
VAS
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
VAS
4 - 0
FER
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |