Moura vs Sesimbra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 1
EVN
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 3
MOU
55%
22%
23%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
1DE
1 - 1
MOU
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 2
LOU
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ORI
1 - 0
MOU
75%
17%
8%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Sesimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALJ
1 - 0
SES
49%
24%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SES
2 - 1
FAB
14%
21%
65%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SES
4 - 0
DES
84%
11%
5%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 0
SES
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SES
2 - 0
QUA
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |