Mount Rich vs Camerhogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
30.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
2º
4º
4º
24
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 47 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 41 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 28 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 25 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 23 |
7º
|
73% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 10 |
9º
|
85.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 6 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount Rich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HAR
1 - 3
MRI
51%
20%
29%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
SAB
3 - 4
MRI
36%
21%
43%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MRI
2 - 1
HRC
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MRI
1 - 1
JOH
36%
22%
43%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
QPR
4 - 1
MRI
61%
18%
21%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Camerhogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCC
3 - 0
STR
88%
8%
3%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCC
3 - 1
HAP
80%
13%
8%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 0
FCC
65%
17%
18%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
FCC
2 - 2
HAR
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HRC
2 - 0
FCC
8%
15%
77%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | -2 |