Motril CF vs Carolinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ALM
3 - 2
MOT
39%
28%
33%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
MOT
0 - 2
TOR
44%
27%
30%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
RUS
1 - 4
MOT
17%
24%
59%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
MOT
3 - 1
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
GRA
2 - 0
MOT
59%
24%
17%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 0
GUA
45%
28%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
ALH
0 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAR
36%
28%
36%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
1 - 0
ALM
43%
27%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
TOR
3 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |