Moto Club MA vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FPI
2 - 3
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 0
TUN
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
TUN
0 - 2
MOT
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
MOT
3 - 2
FPI
36%
25%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 0
MOT
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 0
4DE
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOC
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
TOC
4 - 1
CAS
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +3 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
4DE
2 - 2
TOC
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TOC
2 - 0
MOT
30%
27%
43%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +3 |