SPL Relegation Play-offs Round 4

Motherwell vs St. Mirren analysis

Motherwell St. Mirren
70 ELO 69
13.9% Tilt -3.1%
631º General ELO ranking 586º
12º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
60.6%
Motherwell
22.8%
Draw
16.6%
St. Mirren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
Motherwell
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.5%
Win probability
St. Mirren
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Motherwell
+2%
+4%
St. Mirren

ELO progression

Motherwell
St. Mirren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Motherwell
Motherwell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 May. 2007
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
4 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
43%
28%
30%
72 69 3 0
28 Apr. 2007
MHE
Motherwell
3 - 3
Falkirk
FAL
57%
23%
20%
72 68 4 0
21 Apr. 2007
ICT
Inverness CT
2 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
51%
26%
23%
72 75 3 0
07 Apr. 2007
CEL
Celtic
1 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
66%
21%
13%
73 83 10 -1
03 Apr. 2007
MHE
Motherwell
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
45%
25%
30%
73 76 3 0

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2007
DUN
Dundee United
0 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
55%
25%
20%
68 70 2 0
30 Apr. 2007
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
45%
29%
27%
68 68 0 0
23 Apr. 2007
FAL
Falkirk
0 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
54%
26%
20%
67 69 2 +1
08 Apr. 2007
STM
St. Mirren
0 - 1
Rangers
GLA
26%
28%
47%
67 83 16 0
04 Apr. 2007
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
25%
26%
49%
67 81 14 0