SPL Round 4

Motherwell vs St. Mirren analysis

Motherwell St. Mirren
83 ELO 68
16.1% Tilt -3.7%
634º General ELO ranking 583º
12º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
83%
Motherwell
10.5%
Draw
6.6%
St. Mirren

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
Motherwell
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
6.6%
Win probability
St. Mirren
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Motherwell
+6%
+2%
St. Mirren

ELO progression

Motherwell
St. Mirren
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Motherwell
Motherwell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 1937
DUN
Dundee
2 - 2
Motherwell
MHE
54%
21%
25%
83 83 0 0
30 Oct. 1937
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
25%
22%
53%
83 65 18 0
23 Oct. 1937
MHE
Motherwell
3 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
69%
16%
15%
83 78 5 0
16 Oct. 1937
MHE
Motherwell
4 - 1
Greenock Morton
GRE
84%
10%
6%
83 63 20 0
09 Oct. 1937
QUE
Queen's Park
1 - 3
Motherwell
MHE
28%
22%
50%
83 67 16 0

Matches

St. Mirren
St. Mirren
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 1937
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 4
Third Lanark
TLA
47%
21%
32%
70 76 6 0
23 Oct. 1937
AYR
Ayr United
1 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
56%
20%
24%
70 65 5 0
16 Oct. 1937
STM
St. Mirren
3 - 1
Hamilton Academical
HAM
40%
21%
39%
68 77 9 +2
09 Oct. 1937
GRE
Greenock Morton
3 - 1
St. Mirren
STM
61%
21%
19%
70 62 8 -2
02 Oct. 1937
STM
St. Mirren
4 - 1
Arbroath
ARB
60%
19%
21%
69 69 0 +1