Scottish Premiership round 9

Motherwell vs Hibernian FC analysis

Motherwell Hibernian FC
74 ELO 73
-10.2% Tilt -10.2%
654º General ELO ranking 456º
12º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
51.9%
Motherwell
25.6%
Draw
22.5%
Hibernian FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
Motherwell
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.5%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Motherwell
-14%
+22%
Hibernian FC

ELO progression

Motherwell
Hibernian FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Motherwell
Motherwell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 1996
CEL
Celtic
1 - 0
Motherwell
MHE
68%
20%
12%
74 83 9 0
28 Sep. 1996
MHE
Motherwell
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
63%
22%
15%
74 66 8 0
21 Sep. 1996
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
59%
23%
18%
73 75 2 +1
14 Sep. 1996
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
53%
24%
23%
73 68 5 0
07 Sep. 1996
MHE
Motherwell
0 - 1
Rangers
GLA
23%
25%
51%
73 83 10 0

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Oct. 1996
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 1
Rangers
GLA
24%
25%
51%
73 83 10 0
28 Sep. 1996
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 3
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
47%
25%
27%
73 76 3 0
21 Sep. 1996
ABE
Aberdeen
0 - 2
Hibernian FC
HIB
64%
21%
15%
72 81 9 +1
18 Sep. 1996
GLA
Rangers
4 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
76%
15%
9%
73 83 10 -1
14 Sep. 1996
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
64%
21%
16%
72 66 6 +1