Motema Pembe vs Tshinkunku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motema Pembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SLU
0 - 0
MOT
36%
30%
34%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAI
0 - 1
MOT
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
MOT
2 - 0
VIR
50%
27%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MOT
3 - 0
CSM
64%
23%
13%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MOT
2 - 0
MOL
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tshinkunku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TSH
3 - 0
NKO
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MOL
1 - 0
TSH
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ELI
3 - 1
TSH
47%
28%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
TSH
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TSH
0 - 3
VCL
36%
30%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |