Pref. Madrid Round 14

Móstoles CF vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis

Móstoles CF Real Aranjuez CF
21 ELO 21
-7.6% Tilt -18%
13369º General ELO ranking 10768º
2371º Country ELO ranking 821º
ELO win probability
38.4%
Móstoles CF
23.3%
Draw
38.2%
Real Aranjuez CF

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
Móstoles CF
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
38.2%
Win probability
Real Aranjuez CF
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Móstoles CF
-3%
+8%
Real Aranjuez CF

ELO progression

Móstoles CF
Real Aranjuez CF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Móstoles CF
Móstoles CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2023
CDF
CD Fortuna
0 - 0
Móstoles CF
MOS
23%
23%
54%
21 14 7 0
26 Nov. 2023
MOS
Móstoles CF
2 - 1
Campamento
CAM
52%
22%
26%
20 18 2 +1
19 Nov. 2023
YEB
CD Los Yébenes-San Bruno
1 - 3
Móstoles CF
MOS
30%
24%
46%
20 16 4 0
12 Nov. 2023
MOS
Móstoles CF
1 - 1
Moratalaz B
MOB
46%
23%
32%
20 19 1 0
05 Nov. 2023
RMC
Racing Ciudad de Madrid
0 - 1
Móstoles CF
MOS
40%
24%
36%
19 17 2 +1

Matches

Real Aranjuez CF
Real Aranjuez CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2023
ARA
Real Aranjuez CF
1 - 1
CD Sitio de Aranjuez
SAR
67%
19%
15%
22 16 6 0
26 Nov. 2023
CDE
CDE Fuenlabrada Promesas
1 - 3
Real Aranjuez CF
ARA
58%
21%
21%
21 25 4 +1
19 Nov. 2023
ARA
Real Aranjuez CF
0 - 3
El Álamo
ALA
41%
24%
35%
22 22 0 -1
12 Nov. 2023
PAR
CP Parla Escuela
0 - 1
Real Aranjuez CF
ARA
45%
22%
33%
21 21 0 +1
05 Nov. 2023
ARA
Real Aranjuez CF
5 - 3
SAD Villaverde
VIL
52%
24%
25%
20 19 1 +1