Móstoles CF vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ADP
1 - 0
MOS
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
MOS
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MOS
0 - 1
VLO
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CDF
1 - 0
MOS
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 3
CLA
74%
16%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 1
ALA
27%
25%
48%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VLO
2 - 1
LUG
73%
18%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 3
CDF
43%
25%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CLA
3 - 1
LUG
50%
25%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 7
PAR
20%
23%
58%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |