Móstoles CF vs Arganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 0
MOS
27%
26%
47%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOS
3 - 1
ARA
38%
23%
38%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CDF
0 - 0
MOS
23%
23%
54%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MOS
2 - 1
CAM
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
YEB
1 - 3
MOS
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
ARG
3 - 1
SAR
42%
23%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CDE
2 - 0
ARG
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ARG
0 - 1
ALA
17%
21%
62%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PAR
5 - 0
ARG
58%
20%
21%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 5
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |