Mosta vs Dingli Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
RAB
0 - 4
MOS
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
MOS
1 - 0
SEN
63%
21%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 2
MOS
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
MOS
3 - 1
MQA
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
MOS
0 - 2
VIT
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Dingli Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
DIN
1 - 1
PIE
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SGC
2 - 1
DIN
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
DIN
0 - 1
ZAB
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 1
DIN
46%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
QOR
4 - 2
DIN
59%
23%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |